Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (35.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals +37 (80-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanner Cuff | 36 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | -36.7 |
| Michael Day | 25 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -17.9 |
| Tayshawn Comer | 24 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -6 | -26.8 |
| Gui Tesch | 24 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -22.0 |
| Joshua Hughes | 22 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -26.9 |
| Kaia Berridge | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | -2.9 |
| Cameron Haffner | 16 | 1-5 | 0-4 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -22.9 |
| Weston Aigner | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -9.9 |
| Trent Hundley | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.9 |
| Connor Turnbull | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.0 |
| Cameron Gehlhausen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| Dakota Candler | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fatt Hill | 30 | 5-14 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 27 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | +36.8 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 23 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +27.9 |
| Mason Jones | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | +25.9 |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +24.8 |
| Payton Sparks | 17 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 23 | +21.9 |
| Ben Hendriks | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +8.0 |
| Joey Hart | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.1 |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +2.9 |
| TJ Burch | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +5.9 |
| Zane Doughty | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Kody Clancy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Jurica Zagorsak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter