Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Mercy Titans | Ball State Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✗ (19.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Ball State Cardinals -11 (59-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Mercy Titans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Lovejoy * | 38 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | +11.6 |
| Nate Johnson * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -1.8 |
| Emmanuel Kuac * | 26 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +16.0 |
| Stephen Okoro * | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +1.1 |
| Mak Manciel * | 6 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Jared Lary | 28 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | +10.5 |
| Ryan Kalambay | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +7.2 |
| TJ Nadeau | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Legend Geeter | 18 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | +7.3 |
| Miles Mitchell | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Grant Gondrezick II | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 |
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mickey Pearson Jr. * | 32 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 8-10 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 19 | -11.6 |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts * | 29 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -19.4 |
| F. Hill * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Payton Sparks * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -13.5 |
| Joey Hart * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -0.1 |
| Juanse Gorosito | 19 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | -2.3 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +8.8 |
| Ben Hendriks | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| TJ Burch | 15 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Mason Jones | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.9 |
* = starter