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2025-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 35.0% 65.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 โœ“ (16.4 off)
Pythagorean 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 43.8% 56.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 42.2% 57.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +20 (78-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kino Lilly Jr. 38 5-20 1-8 0-1 3 4 0 0 1 11 -3 -18.0
Landon Lewis 31 11-16 0-0 0-1 7 1 1 1 2 22 14 -0.3
AJ Lesburt Jr. 30 2-10 0-4 2-3 8 3 1 0 1 6 7 -1.4
Aaron Cooley 29 5-13 1-3 0-2 5 0 0 1 1 11 3 -6.6
Lyndel Erold 20 0-3 0-3 0-1 2 1 0 0 2 0 -2 -25.9
Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson 18 0-2 0-0 0-4 7 4 3 0 3 0 9 -4.2
N'famara Dabo 12 0-0 0-0 0-2 4 2 0 0 0 0 6 -29.4
Adrian Uchidiuno 12 3-5 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 3 -2.3
David Rochester 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.8
Jeremiah Jenkins 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.0
Jerrell Barron 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Luke Paragon 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.0
Sam Klores 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Wyatt DeGraaf 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Romeo Myrthil 35 3-6 1-2 4-4 10 3 1 0 1 11 18 +12.9
Connor Amundsen 34 3-8 1-2 5-6 4 2 0 0 2 12 8 +4.6
Ryan Cornish 34 5-12 2-5 6-6 4 2 0 1 4 18 9 +12.1
Cade Haskins 29 0-5 0-5 0-0 6 5 0 1 2 0 5 +14.4
Brandon Mitchell-Day 23 5-11 0-2 5-5 8 3 1 2 1 15 17 +14.8
Jackson Munro 23 4-8 0-1 1-4 7 2 1 2 1 9 12 +8.8
Jayden Williams 15 4-7 2-4 1-1 3 1 1 0 0 11 9 +26.3
Connor Christensen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.1
Shanon Simango 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +0.0
Cameron McNamee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Kareem Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
Ben Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter