๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.2% 20.8% - โœ“
Margin 81.3% 18.7% -8.1 โœ“ (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 86.8% 13.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 86.8% 13.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bez Mbeng 39 8-16 1-4 4-5 12 5 0 1 2 21 21 -4.3
Nick Townsend 35 6-16 1-2 3-5 12 2 2 0 1 16 15 -7.9
John Poulakidas 34 5-17 1-4 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 13 -2 -6.9
Casey Simmons 29 2-3 1-1 0-0 6 1 0 2 2 5 9 -1.9
Samson Aletan 23 4-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 1 0 10 9 +1.6
Isaac Celiscar 18 0-1 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 0 2 5 -9.0
Riley Fox 12 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 5 2 -2.5
Trevor Mullin 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.6
Jack Molloy 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.3

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Cornish 37 9-20 6-11 4-8 5 1 2 0 1 28 15 +11.0
Connor Amundsen 33 2-9 1-4 0-0 8 5 1 0 0 5 10 +2.1
Romeo Myrthil 32 0-9 0-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 0 -3 +8.3
Brandon Mitchell-Day 29 9-15 2-6 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 22 13 +5.5
Jackson Munro 25 5-8 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 10 9 +3.5
Cade Haskins 22 0-5 0-5 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 0 2 +10.6
Jayden Williams 19 1-3 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 2 6 +5.5
Connor Christensen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
Cameron McNamee 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9
Kareem Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

* = starter