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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% - โœ“
Margin 25.3% 74.7% +6.0 โœ“ (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.6% 71.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.3% 71.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.4% 63.6% - โœ“

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +20 (76-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Robert Hinton 32 9-16 1-2 1-2 4 1 1 0 0 20 10 -2.4
Chandler Pigge 31 5-14 1-5 0-0 7 1 3 0 1 11 7 -21.3
Louis Lesmond 29 1-6 1-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 1 -19.5
Thomas Batties Ii 27 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 1 2 -1 -12.7
Evan Nelson 26 3-10 0-2 1-1 3 3 3 1 1 7 6 -8.7
Austin Hunt 23 3-7 0-2 0-0 5 3 0 0 3 6 4 -8.7
Tey Barbour 13 3-5 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 6 4 -3.4
Ben Eisendrath 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 1 -2.5
Xavier Nesbitt 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -7.9
Dutch Dowdell 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
Payton Pitts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0
Greg Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Romeo Myrthil 36 4-8 1-3 0-0 12 0 1 0 1 9 13 +17.9
Connor Amundsen 34 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 8 7 +21.5
Ryan Cornish 34 6-16 3-8 4-4 7 3 0 1 3 19 11 +22.1
Brandon Mitchell-Day 30 10-12 1-2 0-2 9 5 0 1 4 21 20 +16.5
Cade Haskins 27 2-8 2-7 2-3 3 5 0 1 0 8 9 +19.6
Jackson Munro 20 3-6 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 7 4 -4.0
Jayden Williams 11 0-2 0-1 2-3 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -6.4
Cameron McNamee 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.9
Connor Christensen 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
Shanon Simango 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
Kareem Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +1.0
Ben Brown 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 +1.0

* = starter