๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2025-01-20

Model Predictions

Model Dartmouth Big Green Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.9% 87.1% - โœ“
Margin 7.8% 92.2% +13.6 โœ“ (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 7.2% 92.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 7.2% 92.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 22.3% 77.7% - โœ“

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +16 (83-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Romeo Myrthil 31 4-6 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 9 8 -18.1
Ryan Cornish 29 7-9 1-1 1-4 5 2 0 1 4 16 11 -13.6
Connor Amundsen 28 0-2 0-1 9-13 0 2 1 0 1 9 9 -12.8
Jackson Munro 24 5-8 1-2 2-2 6 2 0 1 1 13 13 -1.8
Jayden Williams 23 1-4 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 2 3 4 2 +2.8
Cade Haskins 21 2-9 2-9 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 6 1 -8.5
Brandon Mitchell-Day 21 2-10 0-1 0-0 8 2 0 1 3 4 2 -14.8
Cameron McNamee 8 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -4.5
Connor Christensen 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 +0.8
Kareem Thomas 3 1-1 0-0 3-3 1 0 0 0 0 5 5 +1.8
Shanon Simango 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 +1.8
Ben Brown 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 +1.8

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Townsend 29 5-10 1-2 1-1 4 4 1 0 2 12 9 +8.0
John Poulakidas 29 4-13 2-7 2-2 3 0 1 0 0 12 3 +11.3
Casey Simmons 28 5-11 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 10 3 +6.9
Bez Mbeng 27 7-12 1-3 1-1 5 7 3 0 1 16 18 +13.0
Samson Aletan 19 6-10 0-0 5-5 5 1 0 4 1 17 16 +10.2
Isaac Celiscar 18 1-2 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 0 1 3 6 +13.6
Trevor Mullin 12 2-5 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 0 +7.8
Jack Molloy 12 0-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 2 2 -2.4
Riley Fox 8 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 2 +5.6
Jordan Brathwaite 7 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 2 4 +5.6
Devon Arlington 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.9
Jeannot Basima 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.9
Teo Rice 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2.9

* = starter