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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Princeton Tigers Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 53.1% 46.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.7% 34.3% - โœ“
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +1.4 โœ— (2.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.0% 55.0% - โœ—
Efficiency 45.0% 55.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 54.4% 45.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 54.2% 45.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green -1 (80-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Princeton Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caden Pierce 39 8-16 3-6 0-0 12 9 3 2 3 19 26 +4.9
Xaivian Lee 38 12-19 3-5 6-7 8 4 1 1 2 33 26 +7.8
Dalen Davis 33 4-8 3-6 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 11 8 +4.9
Blake Peters 31 3-9 1-6 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 7 0 +10.1
Philip Byriel 23 2-7 2-5 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 2 +6.9
Jackson Hicke 21 2-5 0-0 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 5 4 -9.9
Malik Abdullahi 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.0
Jack Scott 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.0
Peyton Seals 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.1

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Connor Amundsen 34 3-7 0-2 2-2 1 4 1 0 1 8 6 -5.5
Brandon Mitchell-Day 31 4-8 0-0 8-9 9 0 1 0 2 16 16 -1.8
Romeo Myrthil 31 4-6 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 10 6 +1.7
Jackson Munro 25 2-6 1-2 0-0 6 3 0 1 0 5 9 -12.6
Cade Haskins 24 3-5 3-5 3-3 1 1 0 0 1 12 8 +3.1
Ryan Cornish 22 8-14 2-4 2-2 5 3 3 0 2 20 15 +11.2
Jayden Williams 21 2-9 2-5 3-4 2 2 1 0 1 9 4 -12.8
Cameron McNamee 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 0 0 -0.7

* = starter