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2025-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Pennsylvania Quakers Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 27.5% 72.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.3% 66.7% - โœ“
Margin 16.3% 83.7% +9.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 27.1% 72.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.5% 81.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +3 (73-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pennsylvania Quakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sam Brown 33 6-11 0-1 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 12 9 +2.1
Nick Spinoso 31 6-11 0-1 4-6 8 3 0 1 5 16 12 -12.6
Ethan Roberts 30 5-12 2-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 6 12 1 -0.7
Michael Zanoni 30 3-8 2-5 3-3 2 1 0 0 0 11 6 +5.5
AJ Levine 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 4 3 +0.4
Niklas Polonowski 20 2-5 1-4 1-2 3 0 0 0 0 6 4 +13.1
Augustus Gerhart 19 3-3 0-0 1-2 6 2 0 1 0 7 13 -7.0
George Smith 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.5
Dylan Williams 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.9
Bradyn Foster 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Romeo Myrthil 37 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 4 -7.2
Connor Amundsen 35 2-8 1-3 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 7 3 -3.7
Ryan Cornish 31 8-19 2-6 6-7 10 5 2 0 2 24 20 +1.9
Brandon Mitchell-Day 27 11-19 2-6 1-2 8 1 1 1 2 25 15 +1.4
Jackson Munro 23 1-5 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 2 2 +11.5
Cade Haskins 22 3-7 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 2 +3.1
Jayden Williams 14 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 0 -1.6
Cameron McNamee 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.5
Connor Christensen 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.1

* = starter