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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Dartmouth Big Green Spread Result
Elo 48.1% 51.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.0% 39.0% - โœ—
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 โœ“ (24.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 29.5% 70.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% - โœ“

Actual: Dartmouth Big Green +30 (84-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Hurley 33 3-13 3-9 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 -1 -28.7
Sam Alamutu 25 0-3 0-2 1-2 3 5 2 0 1 1 7 +0.2
Jace Roquemore 24 5-9 2-5 2-3 2 2 0 0 2 14 7 -14.8
Nick Fiorillo 21 4-5 0-0 0-1 2 3 1 0 1 8 8 -28.6
TJ Long 19 1-7 0-5 0-0 3 2 1 1 1 2 1 -30.1
Shamir Bogues 18 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 2 2 -19.3
Sean Blake 18 0-2 0-1 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 +7.0
Ileri Ayo-Faleye 13 2-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 -1 -22.1
Shy Odom 10 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 1 1 4 3 -5.0
Noah Barnett 9 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
Seth Joba 6 1-2 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 -3.0
Gavin Perryman 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9

Dartmouth Big Green

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Connor Amundsen 35 7-11 7-8 4-5 4 4 0 0 0 25 22 +32.1
Romeo Myrthil 35 2-6 0-1 0-0 9 1 0 1 0 4 9 +42.5
Ryan Cornish 33 7-16 1-6 8-8 9 8 2 0 6 23 20 +31.0
Jackson Munro 28 3-7 2-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 8 9 +17.9
Brandon Mitchell-Day 26 4-8 0-1 7-8 9 3 0 2 3 15 18 +30.9
Cade Haskins 24 3-4 3-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 9 11 +11.8
Ben Brown 10 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5 -3.0
Cameron McNamee 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -9.9
Kareem Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
Shanon Simango 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter