Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Akron Zips | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.7% | 93.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.6% | 93.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Akron Zips +19 (97-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Hines * | 29 | 6-13 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 7 | -19.9 |
| TJ Madlock * | 29 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D'Ante Bass * | 21 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | -10.7 |
| Amarr Knox * | 20 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -16.0 |
| Ubong Okon * | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -9.1 |
| Tyler Mack | 29 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | -18.7 |
| Jasteven Walker | 19 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Micah Simpson | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | +9.1 |
| Mario Andrews | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -13.7 |
| Shawn Fulcher | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7.0 |
| J. Kaego | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson * | 30 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 8-8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 20 | +18.8 |
| Isaiah Gray * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 14 | +9.3 |
| Josiah Harris * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +30.2 |
| Tavari Johnson * | 21 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +17.0 |
| Amani Lyles * | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +2.2 |
| Shammah Scott | 22 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Bowen Hardman | 20 | 6-7 | 6-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | -4.9 |
| James Okonkwo | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | +8.9 |
| Sharron Young | 19 | 3-8 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | +14.9 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +1.0 |
* = starter