Model Predictions
| Model | Omaha Mavericks | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.5% | 31.5% | -4.3 | ✗ (22.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +18 (85-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Omaha Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquel Sutton * | 35 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 19 | -19.3 |
| Kamryn Thomas * | 29 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -16.1 |
| Lance Waddles * | 24 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Tony Osburn * | 17 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -2 | -12.0 |
| Isaac Ondekane * | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -6.8 |
| Joshua Streit | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -6.4 |
| Ja'Sean Glover | 24 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -1.5 |
| JJ White | 22 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -4.8 |
| Grant Stubblefield | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -9.0 |
| Pablo Soumare | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -9.1 |
| Khamani Cooper | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amarr Knox * | 32 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +19.5 |
| TJ Madlock * | 26 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| CJ Hines * | 23 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +20.1 |
| D'Ante Bass * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +15.1 |
| Ubong Okon * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
| Micah Simpson | 20 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | +2.0 |
| Mario Andrews | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +15.1 |
| Jasteven Walker | 18 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | +7.6 |
| J. Kaego | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Mack | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Shawn Fulcher | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -5.8 |
* = starter