Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.1% | 70.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (3.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +19 (87-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson * | 27 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Isaiah Gray * | 25 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | -0.2 |
| Tavari Johnson * | 24 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | -8.7 |
| James Okonkwo * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | +1.1 |
| Josiah Harris * | 22 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 5-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +3.7 |
| Shammah Scott | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Amani Lyles | 18 | 5-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Sharron Young | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Seth Wilson | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -10.1 |
| Bowen Hardman | 11 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +3.3 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Barrett * | 38 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +8.0 |
| Augustas Marciulionis * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 19 | +4.8 |
| Paulius Murauskas * | 34 | 8-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 26 | +4.4 |
| Mitchell Saxen * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | +10.2 |
| Jordan Ross * | 22 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +11.3 |
| Mikey Lewis | 20 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 6 | -0.6 |
| Harry Wessels | 13 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 12 | -6.4 |
| Ashton Hardaway | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.1 |
| Cade Bennett | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | +4.8 |
| Joshua Dent | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Kevin Gad | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter