Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.0% | 72.0% | +5.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +5 (80-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Gray | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 13 | +1.0 |
| Nate Johnson | 31 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -8.2 |
| Shammah Scott | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 6 | +6.8 |
| Josiah Harris | 27 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 4-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 16 | -2.3 |
| Amani Lyles | 23 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Tavari Johnson | 23 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -4 | -1.4 |
| Sharron Young | 22 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | +1.1 |
| James Okonkwo | 22 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 11 | -10.9 |
| Seth Wilson | 12 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | -4.7 |
| Bowen Hardman | 5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -0.9 |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrian Ford | 41 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | +4.1 |
| Taryn Todd | 37 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -1.9 |
| Kobe Julien | 34 | 6-16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 3 | -10.6 |
| Rashaud Marshall | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | -0.0 |
| Terrance Ford Jr. | 28 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | +14.6 |
| Joseph Pinion | 21 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 15 | +9.6 |
| Dyondre Dominguez | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.1 |
| Avery Felts | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.9 |
| Justin Johnson | 9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +3.2 |
| Josh Hill | 8 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +6.2 |
* = starter