Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals -3 (79-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Towt | 39 | 11-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 28 | +4.0 |
| Trent McLaughlin | 39 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 5-9 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | +3.4 |
| Jayden Jackson | 35 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 11 | +11.0 |
| Ryan Abelman | 34 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | +6.8 |
| Dillan Baker | 28 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -3.4 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +7.6 |
| Oakland Fort | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -4.9 |
| Monty Bowser | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -3.8 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Darling | 39 | 12-19 | 4-9 | 6-7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 34 | 24 | +0.0 |
| Jake O'Neil | 34 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 4-6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | -7.3 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 33 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -2.6 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 33 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +2.3 |
| Evan Otten | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -0.3 |
| AJ Burgin | 15 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -6.3 |
| Jackson Greene | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Blake Daberkow | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -6.5 |
* = starter