Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.5% | 10.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -8.6 | ✓ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.2% | 26.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.3% | 11.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.1% | 32.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -27 (60-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabe Mullins | 32 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | +10.6 |
| Tyler Patterson | 28 | 9-13 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 20 | +14.3 |
| Sam Lecholat | 26 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | +6.0 |
| Patrick McMahon | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +18.2 |
| Jed Miller | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | +15.3 |
| Bryce Zephir | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +9.0 |
| Brian Goracke | 18 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +20.0 |
| Max Agbonkpolo | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +9.8 |
| Chika Nduka | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +17.7 |
| Calum Rutherfurd | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer | 36 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -1 | -19.4 |
| Emil Skytta | 33 | 6-8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | -13.5 |
| EJ Neal | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -15.0 |
| Bailey Nunn | 30 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | -12.6 |
| Jacob Holt | 27 | 10-16 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 14 | -10.1 |
| Michael Wilson | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -20.1 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -15.7 |
| Leo Ricketts | 13 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -16.6 |
* = starter