Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.0% | 11.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.2% | 14.8% | -9.6 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.5% | 26.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.3% | 9.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -6 (54-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Whitney | 34 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | -9.1 |
| Money Williams | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | -14.1 |
| Joe Pridgen | 31 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | -1.6 |
| Austin Patterson | 27 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -14.8 |
| Malik Moore | 26 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | -11.2 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 22 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -2.0 |
| Kai Johnson | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +10.0 |
| Amari Jedkins | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -8.6 |
| Jensen Bradtke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Neal | 39 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 12 | +10.8 |
| Emil Skytta | 37 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +7.8 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 33 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | +5.7 |
| Bailey Nunn | 32 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +9.1 |
| Jacob Holt | 23 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +9.1 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Leo Ricketts | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.9 |
| Michael Wilson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +8.7 |
| Julian Vaughns | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter