Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.9% | 91.1% | +12.8 | ✓ (4.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +17 (83-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlan Brewer | 39 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +1.0 |
| EJ Neal | 34 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -13.2 |
| Bailey Nunn | 34 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | -3.9 |
| Emil Skytta | 30 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | -4.9 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 22 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 5 | -15.2 |
| Jacob Holt | 18 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 5-9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | +7.7 |
| Michael Wilson | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -11.4 |
| Leo Ricketts | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0.4 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Darling | 39 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 16 | +3.8 |
| Jake O'Neil | 33 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 14 | -2.7 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 33 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +11.2 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 32 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | +12.4 |
| Blake Daberkow | 18 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | +2.5 |
| AJ Burgin | 16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | +11.3 |
| Evan Otten | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +2.3 |
| Jackson Greene | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
* = starter