Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.7% | 36.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✗ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -4 (85-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Johnson | 35 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 19 | +3.5 |
| Malik Moore | 35 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +5.2 |
| Brandon Whitney | 34 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +1.3 |
| Joe Pridgen | 30 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | -7.2 |
| Money Williams | 27 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +1.9 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 21 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 10 | +3.4 |
| Amari Jedkins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +5.5 |
| Austin Patterson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabe Mullins | 33 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 7-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | -4.4 |
| Bryce Zephir | 30 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | +0.0 |
| Patrick McMahon | 26 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | -9.0 |
| Sam Lecholat | 26 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +3.5 |
| Tyler Patterson | 25 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | +1.4 |
| Brandon Walker | 22 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | +5.8 |
| Max Agbonkpolo | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 0 | +2.0 |
| BJ Kolly | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Jed Miller | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Brian Goracke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.6 |
* = starter