Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 70.5% | 29.5% | -4.8 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.2% | 18.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.3% | 18.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.9% | 40.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent McLaughlin | 40 | 7-20 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 7 | +2.3 |
| Carson Towt | 40 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-8 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 23 | +0.9 |
| Ryan Abelman | 27 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | +6.3 |
| Diego Campisano | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -6.0 |
| Monty Bowser | 24 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -5.4 |
| Dillan Baker | 19 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +10.2 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +6.1 |
| Oakland Fort | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -4.4 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Neal | 40 | 5-13 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | -2.4 |
| Leo Ricketts | 40 | 2-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | -1.9 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 40 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | -0.9 |
| Emil Skytta | 36 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 0 | -3.0 |
| Jacob Holt | 25 | 7-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 20 | +5.5 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -8.7 |
| Michael Wilson | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +0.1 |
* = starter