Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.9% | 72.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +5 (74-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake O'Neil | 37 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +3.4 |
| Dylan Darling | 37 | 8-23 | 4-6 | 7-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 10 | -4.3 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +3.3 |
| AJ Burgin | 26 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +0.3 |
| Evan Otten | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -12.7 |
| Jackson Greene | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +4.4 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.8 |
| Blake Daberkow | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +6.9 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Agbonkpolo | 30 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | -2.1 |
| Jabe Mullins | 28 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | +6.2 |
| Bryce Zephir | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -9.3 |
| Sam Lecholat | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -5.3 |
| Tyler Patterson | 23 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9 | -1.3 |
| Brandon Walker | 21 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 16 | -5.4 |
| Patrick McMahon | 21 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 7-9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +10.0 |
| Jed Miller | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.6 |
| Brian Goracke | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.6 |
| BJ Kolly | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Chika Nduka | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
* = starter