Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.4% | 71.6% | +5.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +13 (81-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Griffin | 38 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 14 | -10.0 |
| Dylan Darling | 36 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 13-16 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 24 | -2.7 |
| Jake O'Neil | 30 | 1-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -4 | -20.4 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 29 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +1.9 |
| AJ Burgin | 24 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Jackson Greene | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -9.2 |
| Evan Otten | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -14.5 |
| Blake Daberkow | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +4.2 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Johnson | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +4.6 |
| Malik Moore | 28 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +16.9 |
| Brandon Whitney | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +10.6 |
| Joe Pridgen | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | +15.2 |
| Austin Patterson | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +9.4 |
| Money Williams | 21 | 7-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | -2.0 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 19 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 5 | +7.6 |
| Amari Jedkins | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -3.2 |
| Jalen Foy | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5.0 |
| Jensen Bradtke | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1.9 |
* = starter