Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.0% | 18.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.5% | 32.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.3% | 40.7% | -2.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Johnson | 33 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 6-8 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 24 | +7.5 |
| Malik Moore | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Brandon Whitney | 29 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +5.6 |
| Money Williams | 25 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | -8.0 |
| Austin Patterson | 23 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -5.5 |
| Joe Pridgen | 22 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +12.0 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -5.1 |
| Zack Davidson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.6 |
| Jensen Bradtke | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -1.2 |
| Amari Jedkins | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -7.2 |
| Adam Shoff | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Towt | 38 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 13 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 25 | +3.0 |
| Trent McLaughlin | 38 | 6-16 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 10 | +4.4 |
| Jayden Jackson | 33 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 5 | +5.7 |
| Diego Campisano | 28 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | -8.8 |
| Monty Bowser | 24 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -3.4 |
| Dillan Baker | 21 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3.6 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +6.8 |
| Ryan Abelman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.6 |
* = starter