Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | -1.1 | ✗ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabe Mullins | 29 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 15 | +3.8 |
| Jed Miller | 25 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -0.0 |
| Tyler Patterson | 25 | 5-9 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | -1.1 |
| Sam Lecholat | 24 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +0.0 |
| Brandon Walker | 22 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +1.9 |
| Patrick McMahon | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -14.0 |
| Max Agbonkpolo | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.0 |
| Bryce Zephir | 15 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -7.1 |
| Brian Goracke | 11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.9 |
| Chika Nduka | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -1.0 |
| BJ Kolly | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Towt | 39 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | +4.2 |
| Jayden Jackson | 38 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 10 | +12.1 |
| Trent McLaughlin | 37 | 6-15 | 1-6 | 7-9 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 14 | +5.4 |
| Diego Campisano | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +6.1 |
| Monty Bowser | 27 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | +14.2 |
| Dillan Baker | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.1 |
| C.J. Ford | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.0 |
| Ryan Abelman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.0 |
* = starter