Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.0% | 94.0% | +15.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +28 (87-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Vaughns | 36 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | -18.9 |
| EJ Neal | 33 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -27.0 |
| Michael Wilson | 26 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | -10.8 |
| Leo Ricketts | 24 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -19.2 |
| Jacob Holt | 22 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 0 | -17.7 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -8.2 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 18 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.5 |
| Bailey Nunn | 16 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -4 | -5.5 |
| Deonte Williams | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -7.9 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Moore | 25 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +22.4 |
| Brandon Whitney | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +22.9 |
| Money Williams | 24 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 11 | +9.6 |
| Austin Patterson | 22 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +15.7 |
| Joe Pridgen | 18 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +10.1 |
| Kai Johnson | 18 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +22.8 |
| Amari Jedkins | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +10.5 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +10.5 |
| Jensen Bradtke | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Jalen Foy | 9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| Zack Davidson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Adam Shoff | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
| Jeremiah Dargan | 4 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +0.1 |
* = starter