Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.6% | 94.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.1% | 92.9% | +14.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EJ Neal | 35 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Bailey Nunn | 34 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Michael Wilson | 31 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | -8.2 |
| Julian Vaughns | 29 | 5-11 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 9 | +6.6 |
| Jacob Holt | 29 | 4-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -2.5 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 24 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -5.4 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.9 |
| Leo Ricketts | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabe Mullins | 32 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +1.0 |
| Patrick McMahon | 30 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 19 | - |
| Max Agbonkpolo | 29 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | +0.3 |
| Jed Miller | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | +7.3 |
| Brandon Walker | 24 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -8.4 |
| Tyler Patterson | 21 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.2 |
| Sam Lecholat | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +0.7 |
| Bryce Zephir | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3.4 |
| BJ Kolly | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +2.9 |
* = starter