Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.2% | 77.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.0% | 80.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.6% | 66.4% | +3.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +7 (77-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Agbonkpolo | 34 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -3.4 |
| Patrick McMahon | 31 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Bryce Zephir | 26 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -2.8 |
| Jed Miller | 24 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -0.5 |
| Sam Lecholat | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +3.3 |
| Tyler Patterson | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Brandon Walker | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -4.0 |
| Jabe Mullins | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +3.7 |
| BJ Kolly | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2.7 |
| Chika Nduka | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.0 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Moore | 37 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | +8.0 |
| Kai Johnson | 33 | 11-18 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 13 | +10.6 |
| Joe Pridgen | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +1.7 |
| Brandon Whitney | 25 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Money Williams | 20 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +8.1 |
| Austin Patterson | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -9.3 |
| Jensen Bradtke | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.0 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -5.4 |
| Amari Jedkins | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.4 |
| Zack Davidson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
* = starter