Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.0% | 52.0% | +0.4 | ✓ (23.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +24 (86-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money Williams | 33 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -2 | +3.2 |
| Malik Moore | 32 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | +2.3 |
| Jensen Bradtke | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +2.6 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +0.0 |
| Kai Johnson | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -0.0 |
| Austin Patterson | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +4.8 |
| Joe Pridgen | 20 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Brandon Whitney | 17 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +0.7 |
| Amari Jedkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
| Jalen Foy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Adam Shoff | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zack Davidson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jeremiah Dargan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hollenbeck | 35 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | -5.1 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 35 | 10-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Dylan Darling | 34 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 25 | -5.0 |
| Jake O'Neil | 33 | 9-12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 22 | -2.8 |
| Evan Otten | 20 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +0.7 |
| Jackson Greene | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +4.4 |
| AJ Burgin | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1.6 |
| Blake Daberkow | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +0.0 |
| Justin Graham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Quentin Meza | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Covy Kelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Joey Madimba | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter