Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +3 (70-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Patterson | 30 | 6-11 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | -5.7 |
| Brandon Walker | 28 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 9 | -6.9 |
| Max Agbonkpolo | 27 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9.0 |
| Bryce Zephir | 25 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | -10.0 |
| Sam Lecholat | 23 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | -0.6 |
| Jabe Mullins | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -2.9 |
| Patrick McMahon | 16 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.2 |
| Jed Miller | 13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +14.1 |
| Chika Nduka | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +4.1 |
| Brian Goracke | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3.2 |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake O'Neil | 39 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 16 | +3.5 |
| Dylan Darling | 37 | 6-15 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 35 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | -2.0 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 33 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +2.0 |
| Evan Otten | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -1.0 |
| Blake Daberkow | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +8.9 |
| Jackson Greene | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -0.0 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.1 |
| AJ Burgin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
* = starter