Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.1% | 76.9% | +6.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +5 (58-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Towt | 39 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 22 | -3.6 |
| Trent McLaughlin | 36 | 9-24 | 2-12 | 4-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 3 | -5.4 |
| Jayden Jackson | 34 | 4-15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | +0.3 |
| Monty Bowser | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -6.8 |
| Diego Campisano | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.0 |
| Ali Ragab | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Jack Wistrcill | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
| Dillan Baker | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -5.9 |
| Ryan Abelman | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Oakland Fort | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.2 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabe Mullins | 27 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Tyler Patterson | 25 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +12.6 |
| Sam Lecholat | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | +13.2 |
| Bryce Zephir | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Brandon Walker | 20 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | -4.4 |
| Chika Nduka | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +10.2 |
| Brian Goracke | 19 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Jed Miller | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.8 |
| Patrick McMahon | 14 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -12.7 |
| Max Agbonkpolo | 13 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -5.3 |
* = starter