Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.1% | 79.9% | +7.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.2% | 66.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +5 (81-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent McLaughlin | 36 | 6-21 | 0-6 | 7-9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Jayden Jackson | 35 | 9-19 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 16 | +6.2 |
| Carson Towt | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 12 | +9.1 |
| Monty Bowser | 31 | 4-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | -8.4 |
| Dillan Baker | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +5.0 |
| Oakland Fort | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -13.4 |
| Diego Campisano | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Jack Wistrcill | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.6 |
| Ali Ragab | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Ryan Abelman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +3.3 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Whitney | 38 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | +3.5 |
| Malik Moore | 33 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | -1.4 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer | 28 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -3.0 |
| Joe Pridgen | 22 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Money Williams | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | -13.0 |
| Kai Johnson | 21 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +17.1 |
| Austin Patterson | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +2.4 |
| Zack Davidson | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +9.1 |
| Jeremiah Dargan | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1.0 |
* = starter