Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | +0.3 | ✗ (5.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -5 (67-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake O'Neil | 39 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 13 | -0.5 |
| Connor Hollenbeck | 35 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +14.0 |
| Isaiah Griffin | 34 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +2.2 |
| Dylan Darling | 30 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 8-10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 20 | +9.2 |
| Evan Otten | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | +11.6 |
| Blake Daberkow | 16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -12.5 |
| AJ Burgin | 12 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -9.6 |
| Jackson Greene | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +0.4 |
| Quentin Meza | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.0 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent McLaughlin | 39 | 4-18 | 2-11 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Carson Towt | 38 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 15 | -2.7 |
| Jayden Jackson | 37 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 12 | -2.0 |
| Monty Bowser | 35 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Jack Wistrcill | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -19.6 |
| Ali Ragab | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | +15.2 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Abelman | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +0.3 |
| Oakland Fort | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Diego Campisano | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -0.8 |
* = starter