Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -8 (75-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Towt | 38 | 9-19 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 26 | +9.6 |
| Trent McLaughlin | 38 | 11-26 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +10.0 |
| Jayden Jackson | 35 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | +11.6 |
| Oakland Fort | 26 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +6.4 |
| Jack Wistrcill | 20 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Ryan Abelman | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +4.1 |
| Monty Bowser | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +10.2 |
| Ali Ragab | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -1.9 |
| Dillan Baker | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Diego Campisano | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavi Jackson | 37 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -7.9 |
| Jamir Simpson | 36 | 8-16 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | -9.6 |
| Jamari Sibley | 26 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | -8.7 |
| Robert Jeter IV | 23 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Dominique Ford | 23 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 1 | -12.1 |
| JT Langston Jr. | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | -6.9 |
| Brock Felder | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -1.6 |
| Malik Lamin | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Kai Burdick | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lorenzo Abellar | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Duncan Reid | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter