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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 49.5% 50.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% - โœ“
Margin 9.0% 91.0% +12.7 โœ“ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 5.4% 94.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 5.2% 94.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 21.6% 78.4% - โœ“

Actual: San Francisco Dons +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Malik Moore 37 4-14 1-6 1-1 5 4 1 0 0 10 6 -2.4
Joe Pridgen 36 10-16 0-1 1-3 10 2 0 1 1 21 17 +7.0
Money Williams 33 1-7 0-4 6-6 3 3 1 0 2 8 6 -0.7
Te'Jon Sawyer 32 5-10 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 13 4 +3.5
Kai Johnson 26 3-5 1-2 3-4 3 1 0 0 3 10 6 +7.8
Brandon Whitney 15 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -11.8
Austin Patterson 12 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 3 5 -6.6
Jalen Foy 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -1.9
Jensen Bradtke 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -4.0

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Williams 35 8-11 1-3 8-11 5 3 0 0 0 25 22 -
Tyrone Riley IV 31 5-12 4-7 3-4 7 1 0 0 1 17 12 +2.4
Malik Thomas 30 5-10 3-4 4-6 1 2 1 0 2 17 9 -6.5
Ryan Beasley 29 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 3 0 -
James O'Donnell 21 0-0 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 0 1 7 +0.1
Carlton Linguard Jr. 19 1-6 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 2 1 3 2 -
Ro. Beasley 16 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Junjie Wang 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -2.1
Saba Gigiberia 8 0-0 0-0 3-8 5 0 1 1 0 3 10 +4.5
Veniamin Abosi 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter