Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.4% | 65.6% | +3.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +3 (83-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Agbonkpolo | 35 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 13 | -2.6 |
| Jabe Mullins | 32 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | -1.6 |
| Tyler Patterson | 30 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +0.9 |
| Brandon Walker | 24 | 14-20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 20 | -0.7 |
| Patrick McMahon | 20 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -9.7 |
| Brian Goracke | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.8 |
| Jed Miller | 13 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -1.0 |
| Bryce Zephir | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Chika Nduka | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +10.1 |
| BJ Kolly | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1.2 |
| Sam Lecholat | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrington Hargress | 34 | 7-17 | 0-3 | 8-8 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | -3.3 |
| Kaleb Smith | 33 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 17 | +3.5 |
| Nate Pickens | 26 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | -0.3 |
| Joel Armotrading | 25 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 18 | +7.0 |
| Parker Strauss | 21 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +10.8 |
| Isaiah Moses | 21 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | -6.2 |
| Niyi Olabode | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +5.9 |
| Rikus Schulte | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Jack Whitbourn | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| Gavin Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter