Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Oregon State Beavers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.3% | 91.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.5% | 85.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.8% | 90.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon State Beavers +37 (82-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Skytta | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | -35.3 |
| Bailey Nunn | 30 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 3 | -31.5 |
| Lachlan Brewer | 29 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -30.4 |
| Jacob Holt | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | -15.8 |
| EJ Neal | 27 | 2-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | -21.0 |
| Julian Vaughns | 20 | 3-13 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -6 | -14.8 |
| Bowyn Beatty | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -2.8 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -19.8 |
| Michael Wilson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.8 |
Oregon State Beavers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rataj | 33 | 8-12 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 23 | +35.3 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius | 28 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +32.6 |
| Damarco Minor | 27 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | +25.5 |
| Parsa Fallah | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +11.0 |
| Nate Kingz | 20 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +7.3 |
| Josiah Lake II | 17 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +12.0 |
| Isaiah Sy | 15 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +11.6 |
| Matthew Marsh | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +3.8 |
| Ja'Quavis Williford | 8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +14.8 |
| Thomas Ndong | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +9.8 |
| Johan Munch | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| Gavin Marrs | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.0 |
| DaJohn Craig | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +8.9 |
| Maxim Logue | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Grey Garrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter