Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | β (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | β |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Towt | 38 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 25 | -7.1 |
| T. McLaughlin | 38 | 8-23 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 3 | -6.8 |
| J. Jackson | 37 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 13 | -6.3 |
| M. Bowser | 26 | 4-13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | -1 | -8.0 |
| O. Fort | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | -6.3 |
| R. Abelman | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -1.9 |
| D. Baker | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +2.3 |
| L. Rickwood-Pitt | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -0.9 |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Odum | 35 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 7-10 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 26 | +15.2 |
| D. Butka | 31 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +8.5 |
| S. Todorovic | 31 | 6-12 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | +8.4 |
| B. Coulibaly | 29 | 10-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 21 | +15.0 |
| J. Olvera | 26 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | +5.6 |
| Z. Bethea | 23 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -0.8 |
| D. DoΕΎic | 11 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Au-Duke | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -7.2 |
| A. Faure | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Mager | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter