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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 37.3% 62.7% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% - βœ“
Margin 28.2% 71.8% +5.1 βœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% - βœ—
Efficiency 57.7% 42.3% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 32.4% 67.6% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 32.1% 67.9% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 36.7% 63.3% - βœ“

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Towt 38 8-11 0-0 0-2 16 2 2 0 0 16 25 -7.1
T. McLaughlin 38 8-23 7-15 3-6 1 2 1 0 4 26 3 -6.8
J. Jackson 37 4-8 0-2 0-0 5 7 1 1 1 8 13 -6.3
M. Bowser 26 4-13 3-5 1-2 2 0 0 0 2 12 -1 -8.0
O. Fort 25 3-7 1-3 0-0 6 5 0 0 1 7 10 -6.3
R. Abelman 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -1.9
D. Baker 11 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 +2.3
L. Rickwood-Pitt 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -0.9

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Odum 35 5-8 3-3 7-10 4 8 3 0 1 20 26 +15.2
D. Butka 31 3-7 0-1 1-2 4 3 1 0 1 7 7 +8.5
S. Todorovic 31 6-12 2-3 5-6 6 3 0 0 2 19 14 +8.4
B. Coulibaly 29 10-10 0-0 2-2 4 3 0 2 0 22 21 +15.0
J. Olvera 26 5-8 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 10 8 +5.6
Z. Bethea 23 1-5 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 1 3 3 2 -0.8
D. DoΕΎic 11 2-6 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 5 1 -
T. Au-Duke 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -7.2
A. Faure 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
D. Mager 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter