Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.4% | 42.6% | -1.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jones * | 38 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 0-4 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 13 | +3.1 |
| M. Fofana * | 28 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -8.0 |
| S. Washington * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -1.9 |
| PJ Fuller II * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -10.0 |
| G. Lewis * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -11.0 |
| M. Adams Jr. | 37 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | +17.1 |
| J. Brinson | 30 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +12.9 |
| T. Beard | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +15.3 |
| F. Ndumanya | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -0.1 |
| J. Barbee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Mullins * | 39 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | +2.8 |
| T. Patterson * | 34 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +5.2 |
| M. Agbonkpolo * | 34 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | +4.9 |
| P. McMahon * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +8.0 |
| B. Walker * | 21 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +10.9 |
| S. Lecholat | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -9.0 |
| B. Goracke | 18 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -7.0 |
| B. Zephir | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -10.1 |
| BJ Kolly | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -17.2 |
| J. Miller | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4.0 |
* = starter