Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.0% | 47.0% | -0.7 | ✗ (8.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Jones * | 38 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 21 | -3.4 |
| S. Washington * | 27 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -3.1 |
| PJ Fuller II * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +3.4 |
| M. Fofana * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -6.0 |
| G. Lewis * | 13 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | +6.5 |
| M. Adams Jr. | 35 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | -3.4 |
| T. Beard | 18 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4.9 |
| J. Martindale | 12 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | -1.7 |
| J. Brinson | 12 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -3.0 |
| F. Ndumanya | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.5 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pridgen * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 23 | +5.7 |
| M. Moore * | 34 | 6-12 | 4-9 | 6-8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 22 | +4.3 |
| B. Whitney * | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | +10.9 |
| T. Sawyer * | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | +4.1 |
| M. Williams * | 23 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | +7.8 |
| K. Johnson | 30 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +1.5 |
| A. Patterson | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4.7 |
| J. Bradtke | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.8 |
| A. Jedkins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.9 |
* = starter