Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Denver Pioneers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.4% | 30.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.6% | 30.4% | -4.5 | ✗ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Denver Pioneers +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Walker * | 24 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 9-13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | -4.8 |
| Jabe Mullins * | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | -11.6 |
| Patrick McMahon * | 23 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Max Agbonkpolo * | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | -4.1 |
| Tyler Patterson * | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -8.2 |
| Bryce Zephir | 23 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Sam Lecholat | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Jed Miller | 19 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +13.7 |
| Brian Goracke | 16 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -11.1 |
| BJ Kolly | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | +9.8 |
| Chika Nduka | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -10.1 |
| Jeremiah Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Shogbonyo * | 36 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | +1.8 |
| Isaiah Addo-Ankrah * | 33 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 7-7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 13 | +0.1 |
| DeAndre Craig * | 30 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 11 | -7.2 |
| Josh Lee * | 25 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +13.8 |
| Josh Pickett * | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -8.9 |
| Sebastian Akins | 24 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 1 | +3.7 |
| Isaiah Carr | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +0.1 |
| Pedro Lopez Sanvicente | 14 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +0.2 |
| Jon Mani | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +5.0 |
* = starter