Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 93.3% | 6.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.5% | 13.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.4% | 8.6% | -13.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 78.5% | 21.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Fofana * | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| PJ Fuller II * | 30 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | +11.1 |
| Scotty Washington * | 30 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 9-11 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 17 | +14.8 |
| Keonte Jones * | 25 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 21 | +15.1 |
| Grady Lewis * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -16.3 |
| Marcus Adams Jr. | 33 | 4-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | +8.6 |
| Tyler Beard | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | -3.8 |
| Jordan Brinson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -2.4 |
| Judson Martindale | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -13.1 |
| Festus Ndumanya | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.9 |
| Sabien Cain | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.8 |
| Jalen Barbee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emil Skytta * | 30 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jacob Holt * | 26 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 11-13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 19 | -19.5 |
| EJ Neal * | 25 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Alex Kovatchev * | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -17.2 |
| Jalen Pitre * | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -9.3 |
| Julian Vaughns | 25 | 5-18 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Bailey Nunn | 24 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | +4.3 |
| Bowyn Beatty | 19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.5 |
| Chudi Dioramma | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +14.2 |
* = starter