Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | San Diego Toreros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.9% | 35.1% | -3.4 | ✓ (8.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego Toreros -12 (66-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hollenbeck * | 35 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Dylan Darling * | 33 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 5-7 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 17 | +10.1 |
| Jake O'Neil * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +14.7 |
| Evan Otten * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | +12.3 |
| Isaiah Griffin * | 28 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 6-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | +23.3 |
| AJ Burgin | 13 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | +2.8 |
| Jackson Greene | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -11.1 |
| Quentin Meza | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 6 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Blake Daberkow | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kody Clouet * | 32 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 8-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 11 | -10.0 |
| Steven Jamerson II * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | -11.1 |
| Dragos Lungu * | 19 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -9.7 |
| K. Kensie Jr. * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -2.8 |
| David Simon * | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Santiago Trouet | 26 | 6-10 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | -14.3 |
| Kjay Bradley Jr. | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 8 | -4.0 |
| Gavin Ripp | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +3.3 |
| Deven Dahlke | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.3 |
| Joey Chammaa | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4.9 |
| Chas Lewless | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.8 |
| Dominic Muncey | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -0.9 |
* = starter