Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Pacific Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.8% | 52.2% | +0.5 | ✗ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Pacific Tigers -3 (57-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trent McLaughlin * | 40 | 7-20 | 2-11 | 6-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Oakland Fort * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +2.9 |
| Carson Towt * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | +0.0 |
| Jayden Jackson * | 30 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Ryan Abelman * | 26 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +6.8 |
| Dillan Baker | 18 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | +4.0 |
| Jack Wistrcill | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Monty Bowser | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
| Ali Ragab | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2.1 |
| Leigh Rickwood-Pitt | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Ralph * | 39 | 7-14 | 3-5 | 6-9 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 23 | -2.9 |
| Jefferson Koulibaly * | 34 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -3.9 |
| Elijah Fisher * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 10 | -4.0 |
| Lamar Washington * | 20 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -12.0 |
| Jazz Gardner * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Seth Jones | 23 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.7 |
| Petar Krivokapic | 19 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +9.2 |
| Solomon Ominu | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Burke Smith | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| Kris Keinys | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +1.0 |
* = starter