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2024-11-08

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Oregon Ducks Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 21.7% 78.3% -
Margin 2.6% 97.4% +19.8 (11.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.7% 61.3% -
Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 13.1% 86.9% -

Actual: Oregon Ducks +31 (79-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Whitney * 35 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 1 3 4 -35.0
J. Pridgen * 29 6-7 0-0 2-4 9 0 3 0 2 14 17 -27.4
T. Sawyer * 28 3-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 1 -18.5
M. Williams * 26 2-13 2-8 2-2 4 1 0 1 4 8 -3 -26.7
K. Johnson * 22 0-7 0-3 0-2 1 2 1 0 1 0 -4 -14.7
A. Patterson 24 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 5 2 -6.6
A. Jedkins 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 2 -5.2
J. Dargan 12 1-3 0-2 2-3 0 0 0 0 0 4 1 -10.7
Z. Davidson 10 1-3 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 0 0 6 7 -12.2
A. Shoff 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Bittle * 26 6-12 3-5 2-2 9 2 0 1 2 17 15 +25.8
J. Shelstad * 24 3-7 1-2 0-0 4 4 2 0 0 7 10 +16.3
K. Evans Jr. * 24 2-5 0-2 2-5 7 2 0 1 1 6 10 +20.5
B. Angel * 23 3-6 0-2 1-2 5 1 0 0 2 7 5 +15.4
TJ Bamba * 18 4-10 2-6 4-5 1 2 1 0 0 14 8 +23.1
R. Moss 21 0-2 0-0 3-4 3 1 2 0 0 3 7 +15.0
J. Tracey 19 5-8 2-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 12 5 +14.8
K. Barthelemy 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 0 3 +8.9
M. Cook 16 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 3 +8.6
J. Phillips 9 1-2 1-1 4-5 1 0 1 0 0 7 7 +7.1
J. Williams-Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +3.0
D. Carter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Cooper 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 +3.1

* = starter