Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.3% | 93.7% | +14.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 53.0% | 47.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.6% | 97.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +7 (55-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Griffin * | 32 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | -4.4 |
| Dylan Darling * | 32 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +3.4 |
| Jake O'Neil * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | -9.1 |
| Connor Hollenbeck * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +8.3 |
| Evan Otten * | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -7.6 |
| Jackson Greene | 14 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Blake Daberkow | 13 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +1.4 |
| AJ Burgin | 11 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -12.4 |
| Quentin Meza | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +2.7 |
| Jaedyn Brown | 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2.9 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alston Mason * | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | +4.8 |
| Joson Sanon * | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +9.6 |
| Basheer Jihad * | 27 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | +7.8 |
| Adam Miller * | 26 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | +9.8 |
| Jayden Quaintance * | 19 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +0.9 |
| BJ Freeman | 22 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 16 | +1.6 |
| Shawn Phillips Jr. | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Amier Ali | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -4.3 |
| Austin Nunez | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4.2 |
* = starter