Model Predictions
| Model | Vermont Catamounts | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.1% | 27.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.8 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -10 (69-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Vermont Catamounts
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Fiorillo | 35 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +4.1 |
| TJ Hurley | 35 | 7-12 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | +5.3 |
| Ileri Ayo-Faleye | 33 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 3-6 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | +13.1 |
| Sam Alamutu | 31 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 16 | +1.6 |
| Sean Blake | 26 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +3.6 |
| Shamir Bogues | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +8.5 |
| Jace Roquemore | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | +2.6 |
| Noah Barnett | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +3.7 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Banks Jr. | 37 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 13 | -13.1 |
| Marlon Short | 36 | 6-11 | 2-2 | 2-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | -6.4 |
| Josh Odunowo | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | -15.9 |
| Ace Valentine | 25 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +2.7 |
| Louie Jordan | 23 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | +2.3 |
| Regimantas Ciunys | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -1.7 |
| Devan Sapp | 22 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -8.1 |
* = starter