Model Predictions
| Model | UAlbany Great Danes | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.5% | 53.5% | +0.8 | ✗ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UAlbany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Joshua | 37 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 13 | +3.6 |
| DeMarr Langford Jr. | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | -8.5 |
| Kacper Klaczek | 32 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 18 | +5.6 |
| Amar’e Marshall | 31 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Justin Neely | 26 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +5.7 |
| Kheni Briggs | 18 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Amir Lindsey | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
| Bautista Giralt | 7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +1.0 |
| Zane Adnan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +3.9 |
| Zach Matulu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +4.0 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Banks Jr. | 39 | 7-17 | 4-11 | 6-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | -1.6 |
| Marlon Short | 38 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 11 | -2.7 |
| Ace Valentine | 30 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 12 | -6.3 |
| Louie Jordan | 24 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -5.5 |
| Ashton Reese | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6.0 |
| Devan Sapp | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -1.0 |
| Tim Eze | 13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | +8.1 |
| Regimantas Ciunys | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
| Bryce Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Daylon Dickerson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter