Model Predictions
| Model | NJIT Highlanders | UMBC Retrievers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UMBC Retrievers +4 (95-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NJIT Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Moore | 36 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 7-9 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 16 | -2.6 |
| Ari Fulton | 36 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 4 | +4.6 |
| Tariq Francis | 34 | 10-21 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Jordan Rogers | 33 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 14 | -8.4 |
| Sebastian Robinson | 27 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Quentin Duncan | 19 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | +1.8 |
| Malachi Arrington | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6.9 |
| John Kelly | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.2 |
| Triston Wennersten | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.2 |
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlon Short | 40 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | +4.6 |
| Bryce Johnson | 39 | 12-21 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 20 | +5.4 |
| M. Banks Jr. | 38 | 11-20 | 9-15 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 35 | 21 | +5.5 |
| Louie Jordan | 26 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -0.1 |
| Devan Sapp | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +4.2 |
| Ace Valentine | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -9.6 |
| Regimantas Ciunys | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +5.5 |
| Tim Eze | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +7.1 |
* = starter