Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Black Bears | UAlbany Great Danes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.1% | 45.9% | -0.9 | ✗ (11.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.6% | 36.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UAlbany Great Danes +11 (79-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Black Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Lopez | 36 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 7 | -14.1 |
| Jaden Clayton | 34 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 8 | -18.4 |
| Kellen Tynes | 34 | 2-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -1.7 |
| Quion Burns | 25 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Christopher Mantis | 24 | 5-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -11.5 |
| Killian Gribben | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -25.4 |
| Keelan Steele | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Logan Carey | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.8 |
| Novak Perovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.8 |
UAlbany Great Danes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Byron Joshua | 38 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | +12.7 |
| Amar’e Marshall | 37 | 5-13 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 14 | +12.8 |
| Justin Neely | 36 | 11-16 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 29 | 29 | +13.9 |
| DeMarr Langford Jr. | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +21.5 |
| Kacper Klaczek | 27 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -6.0 |
| Kheni Briggs | 12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4.8 |
| Amir Lindsey | 11 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +8.6 |
| Bautista Giralt | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zach Matulu | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter