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2025-02-15

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts Maine Black Bears Spread Result
Elo 54.3% 45.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 53.5% 46.5% - โœ“
Margin 29.1% 70.9% +4.9 โœ— (8.9 off)
Pythagorean 42.5% 57.5% - โœ—
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.4% 64.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 35.0% 65.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% - โœ—

Actual: Maine Black Bears -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Fiorillo 38 2-9 2-9 1-3 7 5 0 1 2 7 9 +5.9
Sam Alamutu 38 4-8 0-0 1-2 13 7 2 0 1 9 22 +7.3
TJ Hurley 34 7-13 4-7 6-9 1 1 1 0 3 24 11 +15.9
Ileri Ayo-Faleye 34 4-7 1-2 3-4 3 1 1 3 1 12 12 +5.9
Sean Blake 28 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 1 2 8 11 +9.1
Jace Roquemore 17 1-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -14.4
Shamir Bogues 8 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Seth Joba 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1
Noah Barnett 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Clayton 36 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 0 0 7 8 -1.1
Kellen Tynes 35 8-18 1-5 2-4 5 4 1 1 5 19 7 -8.6
Quion Burns 34 6-11 3-7 1-3 9 1 2 2 2 16 17 +6.0
A.J. Lopez 33 1-7 1-3 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 5 0 -17.4
Killian Gribben 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 6 7 -1.8
Keelan Steele 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 2 1 -5.4
Christopher Mantis 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 7 2 1 0 0 6 12 +7.7
Logan Carey 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -3.2

* = starter