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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Vermont Catamounts UAlbany Great Danes Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% - βœ“
Margin 44.4% 55.6% +1.2 βœ— (7.2 off)
Pythagorean 48.4% 51.6% - βœ—
Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 46.8% 53.2% - βœ—

Actual: UAlbany Great Danes -6 (62-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vermont Catamounts

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Shamir Bogues 36 7-13 1-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 3 15 6 +12.0
Nick Fiorillo 34 6-14 4-7 1-1 5 2 2 0 1 17 11 +8.6
TJ Hurley 34 6-10 2-4 7-8 2 2 0 0 1 21 14 +7.8
Sam Alamutu 34 2-7 0-1 0-1 8 2 1 0 1 4 7 +16.0
Ileri Ayo-Faleye 31 2-10 0-5 5-5 10 1 1 0 0 9 11 +3.0
Seth Joba 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.4
Sean Blake 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -10.6
Jace Roquemore 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -12.3
Noah Barnett 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -5.3

UAlbany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Byron Joshua 40 1-10 0-6 2-2 4 2 2 0 1 4 1 -3.7
DeMarr Langford Jr. 36 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 6 8 -11.9
Kacper Klaczek 33 4-10 3-8 1-2 4 4 0 1 1 12 10 -7.1
Amar’e Marshall 32 8-13 2-5 2-2 3 1 0 1 2 20 10 +3.0
Justin Neely 25 4-8 0-1 1-2 6 3 1 0 1 9 10 +0.6
Kheni Briggs 23 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 8 5 +8.3
Amir Lindsey 7 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 2 -7.5
Zach Matulu 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter